This is something I always do, and I always use the only form of PR which we can use (since others require a "second choice" vote anyway, and everybody will have different #2 preferences).
That's Regional Party List. In each region, you vote for a party, not a person, and we apply that.
Now, this election was difficult to do because of the fact that not everyone stood in every seat, but we'll ignore this for our purposes. Just a bit of fun, just a bit of fun...
2017 results, first, for reference: CON 280, LAB 269, LD 43, SNP 22, UKIP 7, DUP 7, SF 6, GRN 6, PC 4, SDLP 2, UUP 2, APNI 1
2019 results, per region:
Scotland: SNP 28, CON 15, LAB 11, LD 5
North East: LAB 13, CON 11, BRX 2, LD 2
North West: LAB 36, CON 29, LD 6, BRX 3, GRN 1 (excluding Chorley)
Yorkshire: CON 24, LAB 22, LD 4, BRX 3, GRN 1
East Midlands: CON 27, LAB 15, LD 3, GRN 1
West Midlands: CON 33, LAB 21, LD 4, GRN 1
Wales: LAB 17, CON 15, PC 4, LD 2, BRX 2
London: LAB 36, CON 23, LD 11, GRN 2, BRX 1
East of England: CON 35, LAB 14, LD 8, GRN 1
South East: CON 46, LAB 19, LD 15, GRN 3
South West: CON 31, LAB 13, LD 10, GRN 2
Northern Ireland: DUP 6, SF 4, SDLP 3, APNI 3, UUP 2
TOTAL:
Conservatives 289
Labour 217
Liberal Democrats 70
Scottish National Party 28
Green Party 12
Brexit Party 11
Democratic Unionist Party 6
Plaid Cymru 4
Sinn Fein 4
Social Democratic Labour Party 3
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland 3
Ulster Unionist Party 2
(Speaker 1)
CON SHORT BY 37
In this situation potential coalitions would be as follows:
CON (289) + BRX (11) + DUP (6) + UUP (2) = 308
LAB (217) + SNP (28) + GRN (12) + PC (4) + SDLP (3) = 264
It would be the Liberal Democrats who would act as kingmaker, in effect. And with the Lib Dems having ruled out any coalition with either party during the campaign, who knows what would have happened next?
CHANGES ON 2017 UNDER RPL:
Conservatives +9
Labour -52
Liberal Democrats +27
Scottish National Party +6
Green Party +6
Brexit Party +11
Democratic Unionist Party -1
Plaid Cymru +/-0
Sinn Fein -2
Social Democratic Labour Party +1
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland +2
Ulster Unionist Party +/-0
CHANGES ON 2019 ACTUAL RESULT:
Conservatives -76
Labour +15
Liberal Democrats +59
Scottish National Party -20
Green Party +11
Brexit Party +11
Democratic Unionist Party -2
Plaid Cymru +/-0
Sinn Fein -3
Social Democratic Labour Party +1
Alliance Party of Northern Ireland +2
Ulster Unionist Party +2
No comments:
Post a Comment